Understanding how climate change affects aviation requires a systematic assessment of both transition and physical risks. Transition risks arise from the shift to low-carbon technologies, evolving regulation, and changing market dynamics. Physical risks stem from the increasing frequency and severity of climate-related weather events and their impact on infrastructure, operations, and asset values.
The Aviation Transition Risk Map aims to identify and structure the key risk drivers across the aviation ecosystem. By tracing business activities across different stakeholder groups, we seek to quantify risks at asset, company, and system level. As more organisations conduct risk assessments, data becomes increasingly comparable, enabling benchmarking, macro-level analysis, and performance evaluation.
This project seeks to:
- Identify the most material risk factors for each stakeholder group
- Derive actionable recommendations to minimise exposure
- Reframe aviation risk from an ESG compliance discussion to one centred on credit risk, residual value risk, and systemic financial risk
- Establish a shared understanding of the urgency of transition-related financial risks
Through an in-depth industry survey and structured analysis, we are developing a comprehensive aviation risk map to support forward-looking decision-making.
If you are interested in contributing to one of the projects or in collaborating with impact, reach out to ziegler@impact-on-sustainable-aviation.org.